New Stats, Same as the Old Stats
by David Sims
THE Black-to-White (b/w) per capita rate ratio for the perpetration of a particular crime tells you how much more likely the average Black person is to commit that crime, as compared with the average White person. It is the statistic required for comparisons of race differences in behavior.
For robbery, the b/w per capita rate ratio was 12.1 in the year 2019. The average Black is therefore about twelve times more likely than the average White to commit robbery.
These ratios vary slightly from year to year, but consistently the b/w per capita rate ratios for nearly all violent and property crimes are greater than one, meaning that Blacks are a race that is more criminally inclined, as compared with the White race.
From the US Census Bureau, the US population in 2019 was 328,239,523 — and its components, using some of the government’s somewhat nonsensical categories that blur the distinctions between Whites and Mestizos and Middle Easterners, are “White (non-Hispanic),” 60.1%; Black, 12.5%; “Latino,” 16.2%; Amerindian, 0.74%; Asian, 5.8%; and Pacific Islander, 0.18%.
From 2019 Crime in the United States by the Federal Bureau of Investigation, Table 43A, Arrests by Race and Ethicity, 2019, with additional analysis by me, the columns in the following chart will show, in this order: charged offense, White+”Latino” percent of offenders, Black percent of offenders, “Latino” percent of offenders, White percent of offenders, White per capita rate, Black per capita rate, and b/w per capita rate ratio — and it is this last column that is the most important, as it shows both factually and starkly the difference in criminal behavior between the White and Black races.
These latest statistics prove me to have been wrong in one of my previous statements. I’d said that Whites had a higher per capita perpetration rate for DUI than Blacks did. But in 2019, Blacks had a per capita rate for DUI that was slightly higher than the same rate among Whites. However, the ratio of the rates of DUI among Blacks and Whites is relatively small, as are the ratios for drunkenness and liquor law violations. Also, Whites are arrested on suspicion at a slightly higher per capita rate, as compared with the same rate for Blacks.
The biggest per capita rate ratios (b/w) are for robbery (12.1) and for murder (9.8). Blacks are about six times more likely than whites to be arrested for weapons violations and for prostitution. Blacks are 4.42 times more prone to commit aggravated assault, as compared with Whites.
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