David SimsEssays

Coronavirus Update — and a Few Predictions

by David Sims

Coronavirus Update, 0h UTC 3 April 2020

AS OF YESTERDAY, the reported number of coronavirus cases worldwide has surpassed 1,000,000.

US cases: The number of coronavirus cases in the United States is 244,254, a rise of 32,556 in the past 24 hours. The daily percentage increase in coronavirus cases in the United States is currently 15.4%.

CHART ABOVE: The chart shows the data from 13 March to 3 April, and the curve fit and its equation, where D is US coronavirus deaths and where T is days into the year 2020. Note that the daily death rate estimated from the derivative of the function at T=94 is 22.773%, corresponding to a doubling time of 3.3785 days (81.084 hours) and an order of magnitude rise time of 11.223 days (269.36 hours).

I expect the exponential rise to damp during April into a logistical curve, but, if it doesn’t damp and remains on the curve shown in the graph, then the US will have its:

10,000th death on 5 April.
50,000th death on 12 April.
100,000th death on 15 April.
500,000th death on 22 April.
1 millionth death on 25 April.

US deaths. The number of coronavirus deaths in the United States is 6,054, a rise of 1,334 in the past 24 hours. The daily percentage increase in coronavirus deaths in the United States is currently 28.3%. The doubling time for deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States is about 2.78 days (66.8 hours), somewhat more severe than that implied by the curve above. The time required for an order-of-magnitude jump in deaths is 9.25 days (222 hours).

Worldwide casualties: Place, number of known cases, number of known deaths (X = US states included).

United States, 244254, 6054
Italy, 115242, 13915
Spain, 112065, 10348
Germany, 84789, 1109
X – New York, 83948, 1941
China, reported data are false.
France, 58441, 5380
Iran, 50468, 3160
United Kingdom, 33718, 2921
X – New Jersey, 22255, 355
Switzerland, 18823, 541
Turkey, 18135, 356
Belgium, 15348, 1011
Netherlands, 14697, 1339
Austria, 11129, 158
Canada, 11268, 138
X – Michigan, 10791, 417
South Korea, 9976, 169
X – California, 9937, 215
Portugal, 9034, 209

* * *

Source: Author

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4 April, 2020 12:33 am

As far as numbers go, I honestly don’t know whom to trust. What I’m puzzled by is that I know of no one who even has the flu. I haven’t even seen anyone on Faceberg post that they have the coronavirus – a forum where people post what they feed their cat for dinner. I also see videos of hospitals that are empty. Last fall, the fed was injecting massive amounts of funds into the repo market. I’m wondering if the US and the world financial system has been made so dysfunctional by quantitative easing that the fed has decided it cannot be saved and are hyping the coronavirus (which is not a “hoax”) and shutting down the economy to mask a controlled demolition of the financial markets. It wouldn’t… Read more »

Reply to  guest
4 April, 2020 1:28 pm

With every interaction lately I first ask:

Do you know anyone with ‘it’?

Invariably, no.

Secondly, I ask:

Do you know anyone that knows someone with ‘it’?

Invariably. no.

I thought the 6 degrees to Kevin Bacon was real.

Kevin Alfred Strom
Kevin Alfred Strom
Reply to  BuelahMan
4 April, 2020 5:38 pm

I’ve broken your perfect record. I know one 47-year-old White male in Florida who just recovered from it.

Rommel 41
Rommel 41
4 April, 2020 8:05 am

You can’t believe any of these numbers. My question is why would you think you could ? Given the known track record of the government/media, CDC, and basically all (perceived) authorities, medical and otherwise, telling one lie after another, throughout time, how could you ? I suggest you go to Jon Rappaport’s site, http://www.nomorefakenews and read just a couple out of the many relatively brief articles he has posted there about this and other so called pandemics. Also you can listen to him online in any number of interviews, and he is not alone. There is some solid work available on this topic. The other day I saw a great compilation video right on jewtube that was like a march through time with TV news clips and commercials from the… Read more »

Reply to  Rommel 41
4 April, 2020 1:25 pm

(((Jon Rappaport)))

Rommel 41
Rommel 41
Reply to  BuelahMan
4 April, 2020 5:54 pm

I don’t know that, and I’m not sure you do either. But let’s assume it’s true. So what.
His work is solid. Been aware of him and his work for 15 +years. Surely the thought
has occurred to you, to us all, that they’re not all in on it. Right ?! Not every ‘jew’
has his hand on a power lever, is privy to the conspiracy agenda(s). Make sense.
Intelligent, reasonably minded White people can draw distinctions. And do.

Reply to  Rommel 41
4 April, 2020 6:50 pm

After 30 years of NEVER naming the jew, I’ll bet you a dollar to a donut that (((Jon)))) is one. The jew, Brother Nathanael, says he’s a jew.

Maybe I think a jew knows another jew. And maybe I think that you don’t know what you’re talking about.

Does it matter if he is a jew? It does to me for I can count the jews I trust as truthful on one hand.

Reply to  BuelahMan
4 April, 2020 9:58 pm

I will ignore a claim made by a Jew that must be taken on faith.I want verified test/experimental evidence or mathematical proof. That means I ignore them outside mathematics and the hard sciences.

Reply to  guest
5 April, 2020 7:13 am

Is Jon a mathematician or scientist? How about a jew that claims to be a Christian. Is that to be taken on ‘faith’? From the costumed jew: http://www.realjewnews.com/?p=859 Rappoport, a Jew himself, just can’t bring himself to name his fellow Jews as those who really run things in America. Apparently, blood runs thicker than naming the names. … IF WE REALLY want to save America then we have to name the JEWISH names. Anything less is cover for the real culprits who are running our country into the ground. Is Jon a jew that won’t name the jew? Is Bro Nat a Christian that does name the jew? Frankly, I cannot trust either, but I tend to believe one that names the jew over one that doesn’t. Maybe I’m just… Read more »

James Clayton
James Clayton
4 April, 2020 8:09 am


100+ Car Accident Statistics for 2019

James Clayton
James Clayton
6 April, 2020 3:34 pm
James Clayton
James Clayton
6 April, 2020 4:54 pm

“… Genoese and Venetian merchants first contracted bubonic plague from Mongols and then infected the rest of Europe, killing off one-third to two-thirds of the population…” Globalism, the Elites and COVID-19 April 6, 2020 by Ferdinand Bardamu https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2020/04/06/globalism-the-elites-and-covid-19/ “Antonio, the merchant in Shakespeare’s The Merchant of Venice, secures a loan from Shylock for his friend Bassanio, who seeks to court Portia. Shylock, a Jewish moneylender, recalls past insults from Antonio and, instead of asking interest on the loan, asks instead—in what he calls a “merry sport”—that if the loan is not repaid, Antonio will owe a pound of his own flesh. “Bassanio sails to Belmont, where the wealthy heiress Portia is being courted by suitors from around the world. Her father’s will require that the successful suitor solve a riddle… Read more »